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The Davy Digest

Tech Sector Turbulent

8 June, 2026

Beyond words goes here

Portrait of Paul Nicholson, smiling

Paul Nicholson

Head of Investment Strategy

Portrait of Stephen Grissing, smiling

Stephen Grissing

Investment Strategist

Portrait of Scott McElhinney, smiling

Scott McElhinney

Investment Strategist

Portrait of Conor Murtagh, smiling

Conor Murtagh

Investment Associate

Global equities finished lower last week, as a technology-led sell-off dragged down indices on Friday. A disappointing earnings report from chipmaker Broadcom as well as a repricing in US rate expectations were the culprits for the S&P 500’s first weekly loss since March.

On the data front, US nonfarm payrolls and unemployment were the headline releases. Nonfarm payrolls beat forecasts on Friday as the US economy added 172,000 jobs in May, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.3%. This was the third consecutive month of strong job gains in the US, leading bond markets to tilt expectations towards interest rate hikes rather than cuts amid rising inflation. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) published its Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) surveys in the US during the week, reporting an increase in both manufacturing and services activity. PMI surveys were also released by S&P Global for the UK manufacturing sector, showing an improvement in activity during May. Further afield, the Reserve Bank of India convened and left rates unchanged, as expected.

This week, inflation measures will be released for both the consumer and producer in the US. Alongside an improving labour market, further evidence of accelerating inflation in the US could reinforce rate hike expectations. In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) will be meeting on Thursday with a rate hike expected. Elsewhere, in Japan, May’s Producer Price Index (PPI) will be published.

Chart of the moment - Closing the gap

This chart shows the earnings yield of the S&P 500 (dark blue) and the US 10-year bond yield (light blue) from 2006 to present. The y-axis denotes the level of yield in percent, while the x-axis shows time. The chart aims to highlight that the yield premium of equities over bonds has converged significantly in recent years.

Source: Bloomberg, June 5th 2026. S&P 500 earnings yield based on 12M earnings.

  • In recent years, the S&P 500 earnings yield has declined as valuations have risen across the index. 
  • At the same time, US Treasury yields have moved higher, initially driven by the hiking cycle in 2022 and more recently by renewed inflation risks stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.
  • As a result, this metric indicates that the premium available to investors for investing in equities over bonds is near its lowest level in 20 years, suggesting equity valuations are rich relative to bonds.

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Warning: Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Warning: Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance. The value of your investment may go down as well as up.

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